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A False Spring or a Real Comeback? Markets, Tech, and Tesla in Focus | Weekly Wrap
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A False Spring or a Real Comeback? Markets, Tech, and Tesla in Focus | Weekly Wrap

April 22–26, 2025

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Michael Testa
Apr 26, 2025
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A False Spring or a Real Comeback? Markets, Tech, and Tesla in Focus | Weekly Wrap
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Markets often move like a living organism — sensitive, reactive, and sometimes irrational. This week was no exception.

What began as another ominous signal of panic turned into an unexpected (and fragile) recovery. Tech giants pulled the indexes back from the brink, even as underlying risks continued to simmer just beneath the surface.

Let's break it down: a week where fear met hope, and neither came away unchanged.


Monday: Panic Selling and a "Sell America" Trade

Monday was brutal. There’s no other word for it.

Investors dumped risk assets across the board. The S&P 500 tumbled over 2.3%, suffering one of its worst sessions of 2025. Defensive sectors like utilities and consumer staples outperformed but still finished lower. Transportation stocks were hammered, signaling that Wall Street’s fears about the real economy were intensifying.

At the core of the selloff?

  • Renewed trade war fears as the White House hardened its stance against China.

  • Mounting anxiety over Federal Reserve independence, following reports President Trump was actively exploring ways to remove Fed Chair Jay Powell.

  • Early earnings disappointments from cyclical sectors and banks.

The Bloomberg Dollar Index fell to a 15-month low, gold set another record high, and investors began abandoning U.S. equities at a rare pace. It wasn’t just a "risk-off" day — it was a warning shot across the bow: America's safe-haven status was under review.


Tuesday: A Desperate Bounce — But Built on Hope?

Markets are emotional, and Tuesday proved it.

Word leaked that Scott Bessent — a trusted former Soros CIO — had privately told investors he expected the U.S.-China tariff standoff to cool soon. It was thin gruel, but it was enough.

The S&P 500 roared back 2.5%. Tech names surged. Chinese ADRs staged sharp recoveries. Volumes remained suspiciously light, but traders didn’t care.

Beneath the excitement, though, safe-haven flows persisted. Gold held near its highs, and Treasury inflows continued. Investors were desperate for good news — and willing to buy first, ask questions later.

Then, after the bell, came the week's main event: Tesla earnings.


Tesla’s Reckoning: Code Red Confirmed

Tesla's Q1 earnings report was a moment of truth — and it didn’t deliver reassurance.

The electric vehicle pioneer missed both top-line and bottom-line estimates. Revenues fell to $19.3 billion, significantly missing expectations. Free cash flow plunged. Management refused to reaffirm 2025 guidance.

Worse, the language in the earnings call was stark.

  • “Changing political sentiment” was cited as a major risk to demand.

  • Musk shifted focus heavily toward robotaxis, AI, and robotics — moving away from traditional EV growth stories.

  • Skepticism around Musk’s commitment to Tesla grew, especially as he juggles advisory roles with the federal government.

On top of it all, a coalition of eight state treasurers, including California’s, published a scathing open letter warning that Tesla's governance was slipping dangerously.

Tesla didn’t collapse after earnings — but the stock, now down over 50% from its highs, is skating on increasingly thin ice.


Wednesday and Thursday: Tech to the Rescue

By midweek, tech’s gravitational pull saved the broader market from a full breakdown.

Alphabet (Google's parent company) delivered strong results: stabilizing ad revenues, margin expansion, and early AI initiatives showed promise. ServiceNow and other enterprise IT leaders posted resilient numbers, suggesting business spending isn’t collapsing — at least not yet.

The result:

  • The S&P 500 extended gains for a third straight day.

  • NASDAQ rebounded sharply, recovering much of its April losses.

  • Volatility cooled, and Treasury yields softened as Fed speakers adopted a slightly more dovish tone.

Markets had pivoted from doom to hope — but it was a hope heavily dependent on the MAG7 tech giants.


Friday: Closing Strong, But Shadows Linger

The week closed with a flourish: another modest gain, bringing the S&P 500’s weekly return solidly positive. Volatility (VIX) notched its third straight weekly decline. Optimists pointed to resilient consumer demand, strong tech earnings, and the prospect of a dovish Fed as reasons to stay bullish.

But under the surface, risks haven’t gone away:

  • Revenue misses are piling up: over 60% of S&P 500 companies are missing sales expectations.

  • Tariffs remain a cloud over corporate profits and consumer wallets.

  • Political interference with the Fed looms, threatening monetary policy credibility.

This wasn’t a clean pivot back to "risk-on." It was a tactical retreat from panic — but hardly a full restoration of confidence.


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